Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 14.904465 16.907772 19.190298 22.007376 25.424086 29.477632 34.717323
2025-06-08 11.977385 14.382864 17.355045 21.372946 26.785014 34.012738 44.745841
2025-06-15 10.497891 13.087349 16.465834 21.333303 28.413130 38.773073 56.022077
2025-06-22 9.128953 11.673363 15.119618 20.313397 28.304037 40.838914 63.714707
2025-06-29 8.046972 10.490202 13.895806 19.212648 27.770018 41.990856 70.089904
2025-07-06 7.279213 9.651093 13.042205 18.507077 27.674752 43.762466 78.131343
2025-07-13 7.364546 10.025909 13.986639 20.704991 32.777377 56.042967 113.322807
2025-07-20 7.090699 9.833715 14.033675 21.427337 35.412638 64.400910 144.681600
2025-07-27 6.585732 9.241541 13.382601 20.850612 35.465662 67.305541 163.265214
2025-08-03 6.380959 9.095589 13.432813 21.515498 38.098217 76.887082 209.656422
2025-08-10 6.024881 8.679325 12.991217 21.210447 38.642131 81.570421 243.537354
2025-08-17 5.709776 8.305709 12.587569 20.923752 39.168822 86.406102 283.254089
2025-08-24 5.433648 7.990787 12.282174 20.840899 40.270441 93.667930 345.873938
2025-08-31 5.105026 7.567612 11.753081 20.251321 40.082379 97.156863 395.791073
2025-09-07 4.887772 7.316606 11.509607 20.214530 41.245858 105.497178 492.405249
2025-09-14 4.565338 6.866093 10.868010 19.266638 39.908385 104.894269 526.542634
2025-09-21 4.258502 6.426755 10.219184 18.242184 38.214085 102.534968 544.877929
2025-09-28 4.022912 6.099466 9.758790 17.584713 37.408538 103.289151 595.720951
2025-10-05 4.138612 6.392084 10.484189 19.630730 44.540203 139.366506 1201.973206
2025-10-12 4.079251 6.368068 10.597610 20.301861 47.922575 162.667160 1914.238905
2025-10-19 3.893658 6.104912 10.220505 19.766077 47.443622 166.856734 2283.234169
2025-10-26 3.839350 6.078873 10.314789 20.383729 50.852427 194.661436 4007.698742
2025-11-02 3.699138 5.886291 10.057621 20.100414 51.182890 205.261938 5483.466320